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第76章 对火星轨道变化问题的最后解释


finalpartofeachnumericalintegration,whichspansseveralgyr.thesolidlinesdenotingthepresentorbitsoftheplanetsliealmostwithintheswarmofdotseveninthefinalpartofintegrations(b)and(d).thisindicatesthatthroughouttheentireintegrationperiodthealmostregularvariationsofplanetaryorbitalmotionremainnearlythesameastheyareatpresent.
  verticalviewofthefourinnerplanetaryorbits(fromthez-axisdirection)attheinitialandfinalpartsoftheintegrationsn±-planeissettotheinvariantplaneofsolarsystemtotalangularmomentum.(a)theinitialpartofn+1(t=0to0.0547x109yr).(b)thefinalpartofn+1(t=4.9339x108to4.9886x109yr).(c)theinitialpartofn?1(t=0to?0.0547x109yr).(d)thefinalpartofn?1(t=?3.9180x109to?3.9727x109yr).ineachpanel,atotalof23684pointsareplottedwithanintervalofabout2190yrover5.47x107yr.solidlinesineachpaneldenotethepresentorbitsofthefourterrestrialplanets(takenfromde245).
  thevariationofeccentricitiesandorbitalinclinationsfortheinnerfourplanetsintheinitialandfinalpartoftheintegrationn+1isshowninfig.4.asexpected,thecharacterofthevariationofplanetaryorbitalelementsdoesnotdiffersignificantlybetweentheinitialandfinalpartofeachintegration,atleastforvenus,earthandmars.theelementsofmercury,especiallyitseccentricity,seemtochangetoasignificantextent.thisispartlybecausetheorbitaltime-scaleoftheplanetistheshortestofalltheplanets,whichleadstoamorerapidorbitalevolutionthanotherplanets;theinnermostplanetmaybenearesttoinstability.thisresultappearstobeinsomeagreementwithlaskar's(1994,1996)expectationsthatlargeandirregularvariationsappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsofmercuryonatime-scaleofseveral109yr.however,theeffectofthepossibleinstabilityoftheorbitofmercurymaynotfatallyaffecttheglobalstabilityofthewholeplanetarysystemowingtothesmallmassofmercury.wewillmentionbrieflythelong-termorbitalevolutionofmercurylaterinsection4usinglow-passfilteredorbitalelements.
  theorbitalmotionoftheouterfiveplanetsseemsrigorouslystableandquiteregularoverthistime-span(seealsosection5).
  3.2time–frequencymaps
 m.xiAPE.cOm
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